Global Warming - Fact or fiction?

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Re: Global Warming - Fact or fiction?

Post by Jabberwocky »

xavier wrote:Trust me, if a human were given the choice between throwing a plastic bottle in the garbage can next to them and crossing a street to put it in a recycling bin, into the garbage it goes. That's human nature. Fear inspires a fight-or-flight response, and you can't scare people into changing their habits. Ask the nearest Canadian goose or "wild" deer you see -- there's no real visible threat from you, therefore no behavior modification.

If however, you make it convenient for the human to change, or pander to their innate greed, change can happen, and usually painlessly and really without anyone noticing.
I don't mean to be hammering on Xavier's posts, but...

I find odd that in an explanation of human nature, you point to the behavior of geese or deer. You paint a horrifically grim portrait of human motivation (indifference, greed, fear). Certainly my behavior in life isn't entirely motivated by these things. If this is your experience in life, I deeply sympathize for you.
xavier wrote:If the environmental lobby had tried that the past 30 years, we might actually be farther along than we are, and "environmentalist" wouldn't be synonymous with "nutjob".
Claiming "environmentalist" is synonymous with "nutjob" is pretty massive flame war bait. C'mon - not a good way to have a reasonable discussion of global warming.
Last edited by Jabberwocky on Wed Mar 05, 2008 10:15 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Post by beaugard »

The next time some other company wants to move there and hire these people, it will have to pay $3 or more per day … and that’s how progress is made.
This is not true. As soon as the wages are too high the companies will move on to the next country. This has started happening in India already. While I believe capitalism can work like you say in a certain context multi nationals is one case where you can have really disastrous consequences. It's just too far between the people that owns the company and the workers, very easy to feel indifference for the suffering of people far away that share very little with yourself.
Modern capitalism is smarter than that – it doesn’t go against human nature but rather uses it to channel basic human instincts into creating wealth and better lives for everyone.
There is no law of nature that "modern capitalism" does this. Sometimes yes, sometimes no. About the reasons for the success of capitalism you are spot on though...
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Post by warmi »

This is not true. As soon as the wages are too high the companies will move on to the next country. This has started happening in India already.
Hmm ... that's great. It means people there now have higher standard of living than they had before.
You can't hire them as cheaply as it used to be possible.

Is that a bad thing ?
There is no law of nature that "modern capitalism" does this.
Of course, there is no such law.
And furthermore, sometimes bad people end up running corporations and ruining people's lives.
Thankfully, they generally end up in prison ( Enron for instance.)
That's what I consder to be a "modern" version of capitalism.
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Post by jjp »

warmi wrote:Hehe .. people don't realize the difference. Who would have thought that if Sweden were incorporated into USA, 40% of all Swedish households would classify as low-income and would qualify for social help.
Have you been to sweden? The life standard there is higher by a substantial amount than for most of the US. I don't know what statistics you've got but I hope you are not comparing simply on the basis of income.
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Post by warmi »

Yeah, I wasn't comparing .. others with profesorial titles were.

And it was based on income for that's what defines our basic standard of living ( of course there are other things like culture etc )

It all depends how you define your standard of living - my definition for this discussion was purely economical, meaning how much stuff a typical American can afford based on his salary and based on that US is way above Sweden.

That's just a fact.
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Post by jjp »

warmi wrote:how much stuff a typical American can afford based on his salary and based on that US is way above Sweden.
Well, I am gonna dig up some statistics before I am saying any more here but that contradicts anything I've ever read or heard. The raw income is higher for the US, but living is quite a bit more expensive as well.
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Post by syedhs »

Well I am quite surprised no-one has responded to my example of running a private hospital. Well the point is simple really - there is nothing wrong with being motivated by money but the greed within us may desensitize others human life and welfare. I believe this is the biggest fault of pure capitalism as it is ALWAYS revolving around money $$$.
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Post by warmi »

Actually living is substantially cheaper than in Europe ... I have many relatives and friends in Europe (I came to US from Europe in 1994) and they keep bugging me about purchasing hardware of all kinds here in US because it is much, much cheaper than over there, especially since I don't have to pay any taxes here for most of it ( in USA in most cases you can buy stuff over the Internet without paying any tax)

It is definately more expensive to get sick in USA if you don't have an insurance ... and it can be more expensive to get an education if you are bent on going the most expensive way but beyond that , just about everything else is cheaper.
Last edited by warmi on Wed Mar 05, 2008 10:54 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Post by beaugard »

This is not true. As soon as the wages are too high the companies will move on to the next country. This has started happening in India already.
Hmm ... that's great. It means people there now have higher standard of living than they had before.
You can't hire them as cheaply as it used to be possible.
No. It means they are unemployed.
It all depends how you define your standard of living - my definition for this discussion was purely economical, meaning how much stuff a typical American can afford based on his salary and based on that US is way above Sweden.
I have seen this 40% whatever figure come up every now and then. I think it is not accurate, but more importantly standard of living (or even "stuff you can afford") does not equal gross income. You also have to consider price levels (including insurances, etc) for example. Of course for someone who only has experience from one system this is not easy to grasp.
EDIT: Buying stuff is chaeaper in the US mainly because the dollar is worth nothing ATM.

What I was talking about, though, was not economical strength but social mobility, and how there is an interesting discrepancy between imagined and real social mobility in the US.
Last edited by beaugard on Wed Mar 05, 2008 11:00 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Global Warming - Fact or fiction?

Post by xavier »

Jabberwocky wrote:
xavier wrote:Trust me, if a human were given the choice between throwing a plastic bottle in the garbage can next to them and crossing a street to put it in a recycling bin, into the garbage it goes. That's human nature. Fear inspires a fight-or-flight response, and you can't scare people into changing their habits. Ask the nearest Canadian goose or "wild" deer you see -- there's no real visible threat from you, therefore no behavior modification.

If however, you make it convenient for the human to change, or pander to their innate greed, change can happen, and usually painlessly and really without anyone noticing.
I don't mean to be hammering on Xavier's posts, but...

I find odd that in an explanation of human nature, you point to the behavior of geese or deer. You paint a horrifically grim portrait of human motivation (indifference, greed, fear). Certainly my behavior in life isn't entirely motivated by these things. If this is your experience in life, I deeply sympathize for you.
xavier wrote:If the environmental lobby had tried that the past 30 years, we might actually be farther along than we are, and "environmentalist" wouldn't be synonymous with "nutjob".
Claiming "environmentalist" is synonymous with "nutjob" is pretty massive flame war bait. C'mon - not a good way to have a reasonable discussion of global warming.
It's actually not a discussion of global warming, if you read the top post (even though the intro to it is based on the topic). The issue I have is with radical environmentalist tactics and viewpoints, which have been counterproductive to their cause, and I was expressing my regret that in general, the environmental lobby not only resorted, but came out of the gate with, the same scare tactics that many attribute to the Bush administration. In the spirit of "you can attract more bees with honey than with vinegar", I just find it unfortunate that emotions often overrule common sense in many camps on that side of the issue.

In general, no one is going to say "yeah, let's pump all the smoke we can into the air and dump all the trash we can into the sea". I challenge anyone to find any credible person on this planet who would say that. It's also unfortunate that there is tons of rhetoric and no compromise with the most vocal environmentalists, but few practical solutions. Gavin Newsom is a practical environmentalist, and it's unfortunate that he can't get the support or ear of the environmental lobby, because those people are so steeped in rhetoric and demagoguery that they can't give an inch now, or risk losing face.

And that's another basic element of human nature -- the common inability to give an inch on a topic in which you have verbally overextended yourself.

And you cannot deny that in general, the human being is interested most in gaining more for him/herself. That is the essence of greed, that's all I am saying. And if you want to change human behavior, you have to address the basic human nature. Very few people in this world can be called truly altruistic, so pandering to the largely non-existent altruistic nature of the overall human population puts you exactly where the environmental lobby is now: nowhere further than they were 30 years ago.

FWIW, since you seem to have fixated on it somewhat, the analogy to animal behavior is accurate in that where there is no imminent, visible threat, you can't scare people into changing their behavior.

And it is in that spirit that not only I, but many of the overall population, tend to see environmentalists as nutjobs. It's again unfortunate, because most people who identify themselves as environmentalist, have had that identity tarnished by the deleterious actions of a fanatic few that also label themselves such.
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Post by jjp »

warmi wrote:Actually living is substantially cheaper than in Europe ...
If you do eat hardware, then yes. If you eat food: no :)
Last edited by jjp on Wed Mar 05, 2008 11:07 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Post by warmi »

Well I am quite surprised no-one has responded to my example of running a private hospital.
Well, it is no different than running a non-for-profit hospital.
You have to make choices and if you legally cannot then you are forced to provide substandard care because health-care business has to obey the same rules as any other business.

If you have 1000 patients banging on your door ( because of "free" health care) and you are able to provide care for only 100 then the level of service will suffer.
And if your local bureaucrat decided that because of budget constrains or perhaps his personal stupidity there is only 300 hospital beds available in the neighborhood (after all they make these sorts of decisions ) you end up on a waiting list etc ...

If you are lucky and don't want to wait 6 months for MRI and have enough cash .. .and live in Canada, you cross the border and get an MRI within an hour in US.

As far as specifics, in US every hospital is required to provide life saving measures to everyone who shows up at the door and they will.
They might send you a bill afterwards which you can disregard ( and ruin your credit score) but they will not turn you away.

Additionally, private hospitals often have deals with local governments that in exchange for tax brakes they will provide free or cheap health care to people who cannot afford otherwise.
Last edited by warmi on Wed Mar 05, 2008 11:23 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Post by warmi »

jjp wrote:
warmi wrote:Actually living is substantially cheaper than in Europe ...
If you do eat hardware, then yes. If you eat food: no :)
Gee .. if anything food is way to cheap in US ... I don't want to get into that for it is related to rather painful personal experience.
Took me about 2 years to get rid of 20 kilos which I have carelessly acquired hanging around keyboard and stuffing myself with Chipotle tacos.

If you want to talk expensive … hmm there are much better subjects than food.
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Post by Kencho »

warmi wrote:
Most probably because instead of performing production in its homeland, it's employing 3rd world people to do the job, paying them far less
So you would rather not move that production over there and have these people starve to death ?
So, that company is creating wealth in its homeland by taking it from the 3rd world.
No that company is providing jobs which otherwise were not available in these parts of the world.
For many of these people, the choice is between working for $2 a day for Nike or not working at all and starving.
You would rather have these people starve than suffer consequences of being “exploitedâ€
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Post by jjp »

warmi wrote:
jjp wrote:
warmi wrote:Actually living is substantially cheaper than in Europe ...
If you do eat hardware, then yes. If you eat food: no :)
Gee .. if anything food is way to cheap in US ... I don't want to get into that for it is related to rather painful personal experience.
I mean things like vegetables, fruit, flour, milk, meat, bread, cheese and so on. I guess gaining too much weight unfortunatly is something one can achieve without spending a lot in any western country :)
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Post by syedhs »

warmi wrote: Well, it is no different than running a non-for-profit hospital.
Okay you do have a point, but I should actually just restrict to one question (the number 1) which is if the person suffers from a stroke and as everyone knows, even a few minutes late of treatment can lead you to catastrophic - coma, irreversible brain damage, paralysis etc. So I am refreshing the question: should you or should you not accept the patient?

I ask this question because right in here in my country, there are way many emergency cases like heart attack, stroke, car accident where the person was simply rejected and shooed to government hospital simply because there was no proof of money can be shown right at the moment. Yes right at that moment. An example of proof needed is credit card with known balance, cash or insurance card. So this is a blatant disregard toward human's life or welfare because all these hospitals are thinking of $$$ and human life=zilch.

And I have heard similar stories too in USA and many other countries.

Okay, read this as capitalist in principal, doesn't consider any kind and shape of human welfare.
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Post by warmi »

If the first deserves 20$, the second too
Nobody deserves anything.
People get paid what the market dictates. If people come to work for $4 per day then they obviously consider this a good salary and that's how much they will get.
If nobody showed up for work, the salary range for this sort of work would increase.

That's just basic economics and no matter how much you try you cannot change it ( other then make laws which would do as much as a law outlawing cancer)

If you think this is unfair, you are free to start your own company ... hire these people for $20 or whatever you think is just.
but according to capitalism, that's losing money (rather, not earning money) which is obviously a bad thing.
Yeah it is a very bad. It means businesses will fail and people will get laid off.
Yes, merit and personal abilities like actors and football players... Yes, what a tough work that of playing a role in a film or running some yards during a couple hours that they deserve to win millions a year
It is not capitalism or actors who are at fault here but ... you.
You are willing to pay whatever you are paying to see a game or a movie .. and so are millions of others around the world.
They won't come to see a game played by some unknown people or watch a movie made by some aspiring students but they will go see Bruce Willis.
Consequently, these people are capable of generating tons of money for people who run these things and thus can command an outrageous salary.

Again, I am surprised you have problem understanding such basic concepts.
Interestingly, an euro costs more dollars each day.
That is indeed correct and so was the reverse in 2000 when Euro was going down like a rock.
Will see ...
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Re: Global Warming - Fact or fiction?

Post by Jabberwocky »

xavier wrote: It's actually not a discussion of global warming, if you read the top post (even though the intro to it is based on the topic). The issue I have is with radical environmentalist tactics and viewpoints, which have been counterproductive to their cause, and I was expressing my regret that in general, the environmental lobby not only resorted, but came out of the gate with, the same scare tactics that many attribute to the Bush administration. In the spirit of "you can attract more bees with honey than with vinegar", I just find it unfortunate that emotions often overrule common sense in many camps on that side of the issue.

In general, no one is going to say "yeah, let's pump all the smoke we can into the air and dump all the trash we can into the sea". I challenge anyone to find any credible person on this planet who would say that. It's also unfortunate that there is tons of rhetoric and no compromise with the most vocal environmentalists, but few practical solutions. Gavin Newsom is a practical environmentalist, and it's unfortunate that he can't get the support or ear of the environmental lobby, because those people are so steeped in rhetoric and demagoguery that they can't give an inch now, or risk losing face.

And that's another basic element of human nature -- the common inability to give an inch on a topic in which you have verbally overextended yourself.

And you cannot deny that in general, the human being is interested most in gaining more for him/herself. That is the essence of greed, that's all I am saying. And if you want to change human behavior, you have to address the basic human nature. Very few people in this world can be called truly altruistic, so pandering to the largely non-existent altruistic nature of the overall human population puts you exactly where the environmental lobby is now: nowhere further than they were 30 years ago.

FWIW, since you seem to have fixated on it somewhat, the analogy to animal behavior is accurate in that where there is no imminent, visible threat, you can't scare people into changing their behavior.

And it is in that spirit that not only I, but many of the overall population, tend to see environmentalists as nutjobs. It's again unfortunate, because most people who identify themselves as environmentalist, have had that identity tarnished by the deleterious actions of a fanatic few that also label themselves such.
You do a good job of clarifying your viewpoint, and there are some things I agree with here:

* The cause of environmentalism would be furthered by making it as financially feasible as possible. (the "greed" argument)

* Environmentalism is furthered by a practical approach, as much as possible.

* there are certainly a fanatic few who make ridiculous claims in the name of environmentalism. Still, the hope is that a reasonable person can distinguish between serious, scientific-based studies, and these ridiculous claims.

This earlier post (not by Xavier) shows this exact problem:
One could be concerned .. reasonably, without panicking and calling people to stop using toilet paper because rain forests are dying.
Or blindly agitating against genetically modified crops which have a potential to feed millions currently starving people.
Equating these two things (one a topic of serious scientific inquiry, the other some off-handed comment made by Sheryl Crow, if I remember correctly) means you're unwilling or incapable of seriously thinking about the topic of environmentalism.

The fact you consider environmentalists nutjobs because of the "deleterious actions of a fanatic few" (in your words) strikes me as being very closed minded. It's very easy to condemn entire countries, religions, or political systems for the atrocities committed by a few, but this is not the mindset of a rational person, nor the avenue to a reasonable debate.

--------

But fundamentally, I think this conversation does hinge around global warming (not just because of the title of this thread). This is because your argument seems to hinge on the assumption that global warming is not real. This is implied when you refer to environmentalist claims as "radical", and "scare tactics", as well as when you call environmentalists "nut jobs". If many environmentalist claims are in fact true or even plausible (say for the sake of argument, some of those made in "an Inconvenient Truth"), then neither of these terms apply, and reasonable environmentalists aren't resorting at all to the kind of propaganda you're claiming they are.
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Post by CaseyB »

Kencho wrote:What I'm saying is not that productions shouldn't be moved there; what I'm saying is that if you move the production there, pay them what they deserve. Why a worker in its homeland deserves 20$ and one in the 3rd world only 2$ for the same work? If the first deserves 20$, the second too.
That is a question of cost of living and sustainable wage. When I graduated from college I could have moved to New York City and made $90,000 / year, or I could stay in Ohio and make $50,000 / year to do the same job. Is that because people in Ohio are being exploited? No! It's because so many people want to live in New York that it COSTS more to live there so in order to live there you need to MAKE more. The people in third world countries can maintain the same standard of living on (for example) $2 / day as we in the US can on the $20 / hour.
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Post by warmi »

And I have heard similar stories too in USA and many other countries.
Well, if something like that happens in US then it strictly illegal - as simple as that.
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Post by syedhs »

warmi wrote:
And I have heard similar stories too in USA and many other countries.
Well, if something like that happens in US then it strictly illegal - as simple as that.
Really - I could have sworn reading many people doesn't get admitted simply because they couldn't produce the insurance card. And I will be surprised if such cases dont happen at all in the states.

Okay I am off to sleep now (7:23am here).
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Post by Kencho »

CaseyB wrote:The people in third world countries can maintain the same standard of living on (for example) $2 / day as we in the US can on the $20 / hour.
The problem is that the situation isn't even that. People in the third world often works for 2$ a day just because they would work for ANY income. Many of them starve to death winning 2$/day, so that's not the standard of living: it's the standard of dying a bit older.

And warmi, if I ever start a company (I hope to), be sure I will hire people from there (bringing them here), as well as disabled people. Maybe my company will crash, but at least I'll give them a chance and a better life quality. I don't mind not becoming rich; I mind having the chance to help people in need and prefer to buy a better TV. And talking of merits, I would bet 90% of the people there would work more willingly and better than anyone here if given the chance. Don't ever forget that you are where you are just because you were lucky enough to be born there, and not in the third world. If you think you've earned everything you have by yourself, you're totally wrong.
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Re: Global Warming - Fact or fiction?

Post by xavier »

Jabberwocky wrote:
The fact you consider environmentalists nutjobs because of the "deleterious actions of a fanatic few" (in your words) strikes me as being very closed minded.
Please relax and read what I actually am saying. I did not say that I consider them such. I said that the overall perception among the general population is that "environmentalist" == "nutjob" -- whether deserved or not.

Understanding not only that, but why, goes much farther along the lines of meaningful discourse than reacting emotionally to "soundbites" plucked from a post.
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Post by CaseyB »

Kencho wrote:Don't ever forget that you are where you are just because you were lucky enough to be born there, and not in the third world. If you think you've earned everything you have by yourself, you're totally wrong.
I don't think he was born here! And anyone here that is not a Native American is here because as some point their relatives came here to create a better life for themselves! They came here because this IS a land of opportunity! You CAN start with nothing and become whatever you want! That is why there are so many people immigrating here even today!
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Post by Kencho »

CaseyB, I'm pretty confident he isn't from Somalia ;)

That actually happens in almost every country in the first world. The only requirement being to have will to be someone. The chances a boy born in a ghetto here and there to fall into a drug spiral are the same for both places :(
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